Enterprise Mobility from the Telecom Carrier perspective
Monday, January 25th, 2010 Marcio Avillez, VP Network OfferingsSome of my iPass colleagues will be discussing some of the key trends around mobility and how they are impacting the enterprise and the IT/Telecom manager’s jobs. I will focus my attention on key trends in the telecom carrier space and try to look ahead and synthesize some of the implications for the enterprise mobility.
From my perspective the most relevant trend in the mobility world is the increased availability and growing adoption of devices that have the ability to use the mobile internet – PCs with mobile data cards and smartphones/superphones. These devices support much more than e-mail and they are driving increased data traffic on mobile networks at a dizzying pace – Morgan Stanley estimates that mobile data traffic on wireless networks will grow at a 131% compound annual growth rate between 2008 and 2013. In summary, the combination of devices, mobile data networks and applications is already combining to strain the capability of many of these networks to handle the traffic loads in some markets or at certain times of the day and the problem is likely to get worse before it gets better.
Nothing new here, we’ve all heard about this impact on the mobile networks. So why should I care about this? Well, the answer is that, beyond the obvious short-term performance implications and potential productivity impacts to mobile professionals, there is also another potential implication for how enterprises procure these services.
Let me explain a bit further. . .
It’s not that there aren’t technological solutions to address this issue and ameliorate the situation over time. The reality is that there are a growing set of options that mobile network operators are pursuing, with several strategies and investment programs to address the issue. The real issue is where the bottleneck presents itself.
Mobile networks are a combination of radio networks and landline networks. The radio networks use the spectrum (that a mobile carrier owns rights to) as a medium to transmit data from PCs with mobile data cards and smartphones/superphones to radio towers. Morgan Stanley estimates that there are ~250,000 of these cell site towers in the US. These cell site towers that house the radio equipment are then connected to the internet over a combination of technologies that today includes multiple T1s , microwave and, in some cases, via fiber.
This is where the bottleneck lies. Most carriers have enough bandwidth and spectrum in most locations on their radio network to handle this increase in traffic between the devices and the cell towers. However, few of the ~250,000 cell sites in the US can say the same about the landline network that connects them to the internet. Industry analysts estimate that mobile carriers are going to be playing catch-up on this front through 2012-2013.
See how this bottleneck can impact the Enterprise, in Part 2, tomorrow.






You are correct, the problem is only getting worse for the mobile carriers. The result of more people using these devices times more bandwidth intensive apps per device creates a multi-year problem for the MNOs and the range of effective solutions: LTE upgrade, cell site splitting and increased backhaul capacity are all fairly capital intensive and time-consuming. The carriers will need to do something to control the demand side of the equation to have a shot of getting ahead of this in the near term – either getting more people to pay for data they don’t use or provide pricing plans that create “incentives for users to behave better.”
AT&T recently announced just how far behind it was in regards to backhaul — in 2009 they added 13,500 T-1 lines in just San Francisco and New York combined — plus over 200 DS-3 optical connections.
“Unprecedented” was how they described the traffic surge on their network the past few years. But it looks like that will be the norm, not the exception, for the future.
See our post on the subject:
http://bit.ly/7QK5IM